valspurten growing in importance. One in three voters decided last week before the election. But Sweden Democrat voters breaks the pattern and decide early, says valforskaren Sören Holmberg.
valspurten growing in importance. One in three voters decided last week before the election. But Sweden Democrat voters breaks the pattern and decide early, says valforskaren Sören Holmberg.
SVT exit poll shows that 34 percent of voters waited until the last week before they decided in this year’s general election. Many did not take the decision before the election day.
Thus continues the trend that Sören Holmberg, Professor of Political Science at the University of Gothenburg, seen since the survey began, 1991.
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– spurt in election matters more than ever. More voters be influenced, says Sören Holmberg.
Especially good sprinters in this year’s election was the Centre Party and the Feminist Initiative – 52 and 46 percent of the parties’ voters decided at the last moment.
– In Fis case, we will certainly be able to demonstrate that it is in part about tactics voting, says Sören Holmberg.
It is above all young voters, and a slightly higher proportion of women than men, who decide late. But the pattern to postpone the elections until the very end does not apply to all lots. Of Sweden Democratic voters, only 24 percent who wait until the last week.
Polling survey also looks at parties electorate. One explanation for the Sweden Democrats’ sharp advance is that the party is now also strong among many older people.
– SD’s voters are no longer just for young men, says Sören Holmberg.
The share voters who change party between elections is also increasing steadily. This year is the 36 percent. That voters are less faithful to their parties is partly because there are more games to choose from, but also to many voters perceive that the parties are closer than before.
Although the curve for voice shattering pointing up. In Sunday’s election voted 33 percent of voters in different parties in the parliamentary election and municipal elections.
– But still the national election importantly for most, then slipping the municipal and county council with the fly, says Sören Holmberg.
Like most opinion polling organizations missed SVT exit poll Sweden Democrats advance.
– It does not help if we measure via telephone, internet or questionnaires, it is still an underestimate of SD. The party’s voters are not interested in participating, says Per Näsman, responsible for the technical design of the survey.
The map of parliamentary elections show that the red-green wind changed the political landscape of most of southern Sweden.
In the municipalities have valvind were gone in the same direction as on the national level, but not with the same strength. In total, SD 9.3 percent in the municipal elections, compared with 12.9 in the general election. According to today’s society, SD less than 2 percent of the vote in the four municipalities: Dorotea paint Roberts- and Vaxholm.
Party received a total of 1,316 seats in the country’s council, an increase of over 700 seats.
Feminist Initiative got good dividends in the local elections and now has a platform with seats for a total of 13 municipalities. The Conservatives are also the big loser at the municipal level.
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