Saturday, June 13, 2015

Alliance greater than the red-green – Göteborgs-Posten

Alliance lead for the first time in a long time over the red-green, shows today’s GC / Sifo survey. But it remains very evenly. Only 1.7 percentage points separates the two blocks to.

The last voter barometer from Sifo before the summer confirms what several other polls have shown. Neither the bourgeois nor the Red-Green currently has no stable advantage, while the Sweden Democrats continue increasing its support among voters.

– We have one debate climate conducive to SD. Issues of immigration and integration is high on the political agenda and everyone is waiting for proposals from the established parties, says Henrik Ekengren Oscarsson, a professor of political science at the University of Gothenburg.

He thinks especially it will be interesting to see what the Conservatives will do to win back the voters they lost in 2012 and 2013. Either party to adapt its policies to the lost voters or M continues to push the issues that you believe in.

– There has always been a gap between voters and their representatives when it comes to immigration, but it has happened now is that these issues got a much larger place in the debate. There has also been a dramatic polarization of views, says Henrik Ekengren Oscarsson.

Sweden Democrats is just as before a much stronger support among men (21 percent) than women (9, 4 percent). Age-wise, the game is highest among 50-64 year olds.

Moderates get in this survey 25 percent, which is just over the election results. The party is still strong in the Stockholm area, but now has more sympathizers spread across the country. In the Gothenburg area when M nearly 26 percent.

The Social notes better poll numbers than in May, but the change is within the margin of error, and 27.1 percent is hardly the S-line cheering .

The Centre Party has increased since the election last fall and by 7.9 per cent right now the fourth largest party. The party has climbed slowly but statsvetarnas measurements sensed already in 2014 that something was going on.

– We saw that the Centre was growing beneath the surface as more and more voters responded that they did not vote C, but could imagine vote for the party. Now seems Annie Lööf bet on “locally grown” policies have attracted back voters in rural areas, says Henrik Ekengren Oscarsson.

The Liberal Party is one of the losers in today’s measurement with only 4.6 percent voter support. One reason may be the uncertainty surrounding who will be the party’s future leaders, but also the uncertainty of FP’s new profile.

– The Liberal Party does a cardinal who fritter away our position as school political party. Admittedly kidding Jan Björklund with Stefan Löfven in the parliamentary debate, but I do not think he thinks it’s funny that the Social Democrats have taken the initiative in this area, says Henrik Ekengren Oscarsson.

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