SCB’s semi-annual survey shows that the government parties’ defenders. Now the Alliance greater than S and MP. SD continues to attract voters. GP’s politics reporter Gunilla Grahn-Hinnfors answers three questions.
What are the clear trends in Statistics Sweden’s measurements?
– the Alliance is by 40.3 percent more than the government parties S and MP together landing at 36.7. Both S and MP is clearly backward. Left wind that blew during the previous term of office abated in the choice and definitely has turned now.
– Within the Alliance, it is mainly M increases and C which stabilizes at a slightly higher figure than the party had in recent years. FP notes its lowest figure for a long time in a Statistics Sweden survey. It teaches stoke the debate on party ledarbyte in the fall.
– SD has taken another step forward and is a clear third force in the Swedish political landscape. Party leadership threatening to trap any government that does not reduce immigration can continue without problems, none of the blocks is even close to a majority.
How surprising are the results?
– The most surprising is that M so clearly moving forward. Now the party 25.2 percent. Compared with the election in the fall, it is an increase of 1.9 percentage points. Given the tough boot Anna Kinberg Batra has had all debate on December agreement and different interests within the party is a good figure.
– The S and MP slopes are less surprising. Government parties tend to have a sympathy dip at the beginning of the term. And this government has had to say the least shaky start. Some vow breakage that does not make the S more attractive in the eyes of voters. With its 30.3 percent withstand S shame border with a cry for help.
– KD’s development with the new party leader Ebba Busch Thor is of course interesting, but the party does not seem to attract more voters with their new line without landing just below Parliamentary latch.
– V is advancing towards the SCB’s November survey, but in recent years has gone a bit up and a little down so it’s hard to know where it is going.
Why is it like that hubbub around the SCB’s measurement?
– Statistics Sweden’s measurements have an unusually large selection and is considered to be very reliable. But the real Christmas Eve politics geeks come on Monday. When presented the degraded figures and we can see how it goes in different parts of the country.
– A common Sifo survey usually lie at just under 2000 people surveyed. Statistics Sweden 9000, which allows one to see how it goes for S in Gothenburg or SD in Stockholm.
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