Ebba Busch Thor joined on Friday morning to the meager crowd candidates for the Christian Democrat party leader mail. The party secretary Acko Ankarberg Johansson had so far got competition from MP Penilla Gunther, but now it’s clear that it stands between Busch Thor and Ankarberg Johansson, according to Magnus Hagevi, a political scientist at Linnaeus University:
– Now you can say that they two main candidates have emerged. And it’s no surprise that it’s about these two.
Busch Thor is the candidate who has been nominated by the largest number of party districts. Magnus Hagevi says that she and the main competitor finds support in either side of the lot.
– What you can see is that there are now two tendencies within the KD: A more conservative values and a more Christian Social, says political scientist, who points out that the KD been clear that they are not social liberal.
party leadership election will be a choice that clearly characterize the KD. Ebba Busch Thor expects Magnus Hagevi following:
– Then, I suspect that the value of conservative direction will go further and faster. With distinctive issues that a restrictive refugee policy, tighter hold of Probation and tougher penalties, and we talk about defense in a different way than KD normally. If NATO and higher defense costs.
This contrasts with the earlier tradition of KD concerned, for example, made it easier for conscientious objectors, says political scientist.
And if the choice falls on Ankarberg Johansson:
– So it will not go as fast and not as far, priority will be on other issues.
In this looks Hagevi also an economic political difference, where Busch Thor is more to right than Ankarberg Johansson.
When Mats Odell challenged Göran Hägglund of the party leadership in 2011 stood Ebba Busch Thor behind him. Already there was war between the two directions, but without success for the conservative value. Hagglund were left when the national convention voted 198-88 in his favor.
Today sees Magnus Hagevi a new situation, with a smaller gap.
– I would still perceive that the Christian social mainstream is the large, but it is no longer as safe for the conservative value has grown in strength. Meanwhile, a third-old phalanx, the frikyrkligt oriented, have begun to be phased out from the party. It is more uncertain this time.
Penilla Gunther’s candidacy, Magnus Hagevi “not reflected on.”
– It has become as I suspected, but it may well be surprises.
Lars Adaktusson?
– they say that the one should not always trust a no, but he probably made a good analysis of the situation. That he has been with for a short time and that his knowledge was not as wide, but above all, it is about people familiar with him through the media. He has no relationship, no network which has been developed since the KDU. It has the other and it is important, especially if there are problems in.
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