The Social Democrats increased the most and the Sweden Democrats lose the most. S, V and MP is greater than the Alliance and KD go out of parliament. It had been the result if the election were today, this according to SCB’s party preference, which was presented on Tuesday.
New polls presented all the time. Often blown even small changes up big, even though the changes are not statistically significant. But SCB’s party preference stand out. The substrate is ten times greater than in other studies, and it is presented twice a year. Therefore, this is an investigation to take seriously.
S increases 2 percentage compared with November. Green Party loses 1.2 percentage points, but lose most of S. Left increasing 1.3 percentage points and taking voters from MP but no S.
S increases so much in opinion while the coalition parties MP breaks down, it is a sign of strength for Stefan Löfven.
In the bourgeois bloc slopes KD 3.1 percent. The lift that KD would get the new party leader and scrap of December agreement failed to materialize fully. KD is sinking further during the parliamentary latch.
The C and L lie still and M increased by 1.2 percentage points. The Sweden Democrats are reduced the most by 2.6 percentage points. And they lose the most to the Conservatives.
What is it that happened since the survey in November? When dominated migration issues completely. But by the government put on its migration policy were killed on the issue politically.
In the wake of many asylum seekers flocked country saw the Swedish business community and right their chance to demand lower wages “for integration’s sake.” But the labor movement put your foot down, no one should pay more because of their skin color
Prime Minister Löfven urged to battle for the Swedish model and in wage negotiations turned the trade unions is not an inch. It did not lower starting salaries. On the contrary, those who earn at least got the biggest wage increases. And the greatest increase were nurses.
Alongside the political game, the economy has really taken off. The employment rate is now better than it ever was under Reinfeldt. And yes, actually better than it ever was under Göran Persson’s government. More and more people know someone who got a job for the first time in a long time.
Wage negotiations resulted in higher wages, government policy has provided for higher unemployment benefits, all parents now receive free medicines to their children and the welfare of billions beginning to be felt in the municipalities .
Many have simply got better. Then fit the Alliance of rhetoric and that everything goes wrong and that the government would “threaten jobs” right bad.
It also has happened since November is the scandals surrounding Municipal and MP. The S increases so much in public opinion while coalition party MP breaks down, it is a sign of strength for Stefan Löfven.
While it is important to remember that 29.5 is still a low figure of S. It is election results in 2014 and far below what is required to achieve a progressive majority in parliament. There is a risk remains that M and SD merge to form a blåbrun alliance in the parliament, in the same way as they have done in Gävle.
The Alliance’s current strategy is to add his rhetoric closely SD Nations and bring a cultural war through the gambit of “Swedish standards”, water cannons and rubber bullets. Unemployment may not be fought either with air or rubber and that similar problems of unemployment, poverty and hopelessness are in mining villages, they have completely forgotten.
The government should stay out of this culture of war and the continued focus on what creates change in people’s everyday lives. It is precisely this work that is now yielding results in the opinion. If the government is in this and find a story that binds it all together, well then it will be really tough for the Conservatives to come.
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