Slight majority of the red-green – Aftonbladet

Slight majority of the red-green – Aftonbladet

The red-green border to handle a majority if elections were held today.

SvD’s first poll after the summer shows that they lead by 9.8 percentage points.

– It is an extremely narrow margin, says Folke Johansson, professor emeritus of political science.

Swedish Dagbladet is first out with a poll after the summer political doldrums. In the survey, the red-green would get 48.7 percent of the vote if the election were today. Alliance ports at 38.9 percent in the survey that SvD done in collaboration with Sifo.

– It’s not very encouraging for the red-green. For their part, they had expected a bigger advantage, says Folke Johansson, professor emeritus of political science at the University of Gothenburg.

Translated into parliamentary seats, it means that the red-green would get a majority with 176 of the 349 seats.

“Not at all obvious”

But the distribution of seats after the general election can be an uncertain and shaky history. Minimum increase or decrease can derail a red-green majority victory.

– It is an extremely narrow margin, says Folke Johansson.

– The output is as I understand it is not at all obvious, though the Red-Green has a better starting position.

The Social 30, 7 per cent (+1.3)

Left 6.6 percent (+0.2)

Green Party 11, 4 percent (-1.6)

The Conservatives 23.9 percent (+2.7)

Centre Party 4, 6 per cent (-0.9)

Liberal Party 6.1 percent (-0.7)

Christian Democrats 4, 3 percent (+0.8)

Sweden Democrats 9 percent (0)

Feminist Initiative 2.6 percent (- 0.8)

Other parties 0.8 percent (-1.1)

Source: SvD / Sifo.

The survey was conducted on 4-7 August and is based on 1,259 interviews.