If Anna Kinberg Batra became the prime minister of the day would the Swedish people get tax cuts, hollowed-out grants, more police officers – and the fuss about migration policy.
It is half-time in politics.
Two years after the election, two years to the next – then the alliance is again going to move forward with a joint manifesto to throw out Stefan Löfven and his government out of the Comment.
What is the policy thinking of the alliance bring? This week all four parties, as well as The sweden democrats, put their shadow budgets. There you can see what they agree on – and what divides.
Spelteorierna hails. Who’s taking who? The other day went to Jan Björklund that he can imagine to rule together with the social democrats after the elections in 2018, if the alliance does not become larger than the red and green.
However, the main goal for all the four bourgeois parties is still a pure alliansregering.
Imagine that it would take over already. When would Anna Kinberg Batra quickly need to reconcile with Jan Björklund, Annie Lööf and Ebba Busch Thor, and most likely be forced to rely on passive support from the Jimmie Åkesson (just as Fredrik Reinfeldt made 2010-2014 and that Stefan Löfven is doing today).
How would it be?
Alliensens the leader of the Ebba Busch Thor (KD), Annie Lööf (C), Jan T rklund (L) and Anna Kinberg Batra (M).
Here is alliansregeringens policy anno 2016 in ten points. In the thought experiment, we assume that KD stayed alive in the parliament.
1. Stop for the state to borrow. According to finance minister Magdalena Andersson (S) is the svensak public finances in good condition. Many economists agree with.
But the bourgeois goes to the hard attack. "It is irresponsible to allow the state to borrow when Sweden is in the middle of a högkunjunktur", reads the alliance’s battle cry.
Magdalena Andersson has promised that the plus and minus should go together in 2018. But the four ruling coalition parties had agreed budget balance in 2017. Thus, they must save more than the red-green government to get the money for the reforms and tax cuts.
2. Higher standards and harder to plug into the school. In eight years, the alliance’s school policy synonymous with Jan Björklund. Now the Conservatives have taken up the fight. But the profile of skolpolitiken is the same: More demands on both schools and students.
but the party is betting in its skuggbudget 12 billion extra on, inter alia, higher teacher salaries, a one-hour longer school day, more mathematics and mandatory lovskola. In addition, the introduction nolltolernas against poor schools: the results of the bad closing the school.
It is a school policy that the other three parties in the big move is ready to buy.
3 More police officers. the Swedish police are in crisis, fewer and fewer crimes cleared up. The alliance put the blame on the Socialists and the S-did the national police commissioner Dan Eliasson. The budget improvements as interior minister Anders Ygeman promised is not enough by far. At least two thousand new police officers to the alliance adding. Jan björklund’s proposal to snabbutbilda five thousand beredskapspoliser to release the real cops to chase the criminals can safely be alliansregeringens policy.
the Liberal party leader Jan Björklund with the police in Rosengård.
4. More money to the defense. the Whole of the parliament is agreed that the threat from Russia is increasing. The Swedish armed forces need to be strengthened. Three allianspartier stands together with S and the MP behind the försvarsuppgörelsen that raise the appropriations for the military with 10 billion during 2016-2020. But the Liberals dropped out at the eleventh hour. Jan Björklund wants to invest 18 billion more on bullets and gunpowder. Maybe he can in a bourgeois government, with the other to give the defense a little bit more money.
more Difficult it becomes his obsession to Nato. While to all bourgeois now that Sweden should join the alliance joined. But a crucial step for american security is probably not one of the other prepared to take – but with the social democrats.
5. Environment: the Stop for the express trains. Here can be challenging in the negotiations. Neither M, KD) or (L) has made itself known for any offensive climate policy.
But Annie Lööf would like to profile itself as the alliance’s green conscience. A green tax reform is high on her agenda. And it can’t just consist of lowering taxes on business and labor – but must also include the increased taxes on polluting activities.
Shortly before the 2014 elections launched Fredrik Reinfeldt at the forefront of the alliance a major investment in high-speed train from Stockholm to Gothenburg and Malmö. Now have both the L and M said ‘no’, while C and KD hesitate. The government Kinberg Batra teaches scrap the plans on high-speed trains.
6. Lower taxes. All four parties want to reduce taxes on work, but in slightly different ways. KD wants to have a new earned income tax credit targeted at parents. The liberals want to reduce the marginal tax for wage earners. The centre party, the priority is to reduce the employer’s contribution for the first job.
But grundtipset is that the Conservatives are pushing through their line of force to be the alliance’s biggest party: a sixth earned income tax credit specifically targeted at employees with low incomes.
7. More simple jobs – with low wages. The need for more simple jobs, not least for all the low-skilled refugees have come to Sweden. It is the bourgeois agreed. Unlike Stefan Löfven think the ruling coalition parties had agreed to the simple jobs will give a lower salary.
Annie Lööf and Jan Björklund is prepared to legislate on the simple jobs with low starting salaries if the social partners cannot agree on it. However, Anna Kinberg Batra’d rather not resort to legislation, since it looks bad with the Swedish model.
8. Reduced payments to the sick and the unemployed. Anna Kinberg Batra wants to save 30 billion to the national exchequer by scrapping labour market policies, combating tax evasion, improve the efficiency of the reception of refugees and to tighten the health insurance.
A new qualifying day (day 15) shall be inserted. Sjukpengen scaled back from day 90. And an outer limit in the sickness insurance is reinstated.
A cashier will be reduced to 760 crowns the first hundred days and thereafter, 680 kronor per day.
Expect that this will be alliansregeringens policy.
9. Integration: Arbetslinje for refugees. just As certain is that Anna Kinberg Batra would push through his arbetslinje for immigrants if she became prime minister: Utbildningsplikt for the new arrivals that have not gone out of elementary school. Greatly reduced costs for companies that employ immigrants (and young people). Ceiling for families where the adults do not work. And tax-free income up to 12,000 kronor a month for anyone who takes a "first job-employment".
When it comes to integration policy, there are no major tensions within the alliance.
10. Migration: the Fuss about asylum policy. About the bourgeois can easily agree on the "lower thresholds" for refugees to enter the labour market, they are the more they disagree on how many who will get to come to Sweden.
Migration is the real keg of gunpowder a alliansregering.
On the one hand is Anna Kinberg Batra, who want to permanent the stricter laws on asylum, which was introduced last fall: a Temporary residence permit. ID checks. And stricter rules for family immigration. She gets support for the most part in the hard line of Ebba Busch Thor, even if KD has a number of objections as regards the reunited must.
On the opposite side of the Annie Lööf, who never was on the flyktinguppgörelsen in fjor and that as soon as possible to return to a generous asylum policy.
It is likely that Anna Kinberg Batra, simply run over Annie Lööf, just as Stefan Löfven did with the MP-mouthpieces who are in fjor. In the background lurks the Jimmie Åkesson, who would not hesitate to ask for a heck of a moderatledd government that returns to a in his opinion, "irresponsible policy".
No comments:
Post a Comment