Policy. the Conservatives lose most of statistics SWEDEN’s opinion poll and does not seem to have received a dividend for the tougher migration policy.
at the same time it increases the red-green block of its management.
but the party is losing 1.9 percentage points to 22.8%, a statistically sure decline. The centre party at the same time increases by 1 percentage point to 7.1 per cent and takes mainly of constituents from M.
– I take it as a clear signal that we need to work harder, says the Conservatives party secretary Tomas Tobé.
the Conservatives have in recent years promoted itself with a tougher migration and integration policies, while the Centre party criticised the austerity measures that affect family reunification. This seems to have benefited the C, and been unfavourable to M.
Two chairs
And it is the Conservatives dilemma in a nutshell. Already in the 2014 election dropped M to SD. Since then, the party has lost an additional 2 percent to the SD. In order to recover these voters has tightened up its immigration policy profile, which in this measurement seems to have stopped the flow to the SD. But in return you lose when the voters who do not like the sharpening.
– in Short, have you tried to sit on the small chairs at the same time, which proved to be difficult, ” says the professor of political science Tommy Möller to TT.
– Moderates the risk through its regular migrationsfokus get competition from two directions, ” said his colleague, Jonas Hinnfors.
the Difference between the blocks has been increased to 3.5 percentage points. It is a doubling compared with statistics SWEDEN’s latest survey in may.
V forward
In the red-green block goes to the Left and may to 7.7 per cent, a sure increase of 0.9 percentage points. The social democrats and the Greens slopes slightly and now stands at 29.2 per and 4.5 per cent. Their changes in comparison with may, however, is not statistically secure.
– The most important thing is not who wins in opinion polls, but the important thing is that we are asking about Sweden in a sustainable direction, and I think voters see, says the MP’s party secretary Amanda o’leary.
sweden democrats will get 17.5 percent of the votes, a slight increase compared with the may measurement. Not the upturn is assured.
MP losers
Comparing statistics, it’s novembermätning with the election results from 2014, there is the more secure changes. The big winner is when The sweden democrats, which has increased by 4.6 percentage points. Thereafter, the Left party, which has gone up 2 percentage points and the Centre party, which has gone up one percentage point.
The biggest loser since the election is the green Party, which lost 2.4 percentage points, that is to say, more than a third of the votes cast. The social democrats have lost 1.8 percentage points since the election and the Christian democrats 1.5 percentage points.
the FACTS
SWEDEN:s measurement
Changes compared with majmätningen in parentheses.
S 29,2% (-0,3)
M 22,8 (-1,9)
SD 17,5 (+0,2)
V 7,7 (+0,9)
C 7,1 (+1,0)
L 5,0 (-0,4)
MP 4,5 (-0,2)
KD 3,1 (0,0)
Other 3,2 (+0,8)
red-green 41.4 per cent (41,0)
Alliance 37.9% (39,3)
the Survey is an estimate of the election results, “if there were elections today,” conducted in the month of november. It is based on a national random probability sample comprehensive 8 952 people. The shortfall amounts to 43.9%.
Source: SCB
TT
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