Policy. The red-green block, increasing its lead over the Alliance in the statistics SWEDEN’s opinion poll.
the Conservatives lose the most.
the Difference between the blocks has been increased to 3.5 percentage points. It is a doubling compared with statistics SWEDEN’s latest survey in may. The red-green growing direction is mainly due to the Conservatives lost 1.9 percentage points and receives 22.8 per cent of the aid if it would have been the choice of the day
The change is statistically significant. It is also The centre party’s increase of one percentage point. The party may, 7.1 per cent and has essentially taken voters from the Conservatives.
– I take it as a clear signal that we need to work harder, says the Conservatives party secretary Tomas Tobé.
Tougher policy
the Conservatives have in recent years promoted itself with a tougher migration and integration policies, while the Centre party criticised the austerity measures that affect family reunification. This seems to have benefited the C, and been unfavourable to M.
And it is the Conservatives dilemma in a nutshell. Already in the 2014 election dropped M to SD. Since then, the party has lost an additional 2 percent to the SD. In order to recover these voters has tightened up its immigration policy profile, which in this measurement seems to have stopped the flow to the SD. But in return you lose when the voters who do not like the sharpening.
MP down
In the red-green block goes to the Left and may to 7.7 per cent, a sure increase of 0.9 percentage points. The social democrats and the Greens slopes slightly and now stands at 29.2 per and 4.5 per cent. Their changes in comparison with may, however, is not statistically secure.
– The most important thing is not who wins in opinion polls, but the important thing is that we are asking about Sweden in a sustainable direction, and I think voters see, says the MP’s party secretary Amanda o’leary.
sweden democrats will get 17.5 percent of the votes, a slight increase compared with the may measurement. Not the upturn is assured.
the Group of Other get to a statistically valid rise by 0.8 to 3.2 percent. This is, above all, the Feminist initiative, even if the SCB does not produces a separate report of it.
More men for the SD and M
Compare SCB’s novembermätning with the election results from 2014, there is the more secure changes. The big winner is when The sweden democrats, which has increased by 4.6 percentage points. Thereafter, the Left party, which has gone up 2 percentage points and the Centre party, which has gone up one percentage point.
The biggest loser since the election is the green Party, which lost 2.4 percentage points, that is to say, more than a third of the votes cast. The social democrats have lost 1.8 percentage points since the election and the Christian democrats 1.5 percentage points.
the FACTS
statistics SWEDEN:s measurement
Changes compared with majmätningen in parentheses.
S 29,2% (-0,3)
M 22,8 (-1,9)
SD 17,5 (+0,2)
V 7,7 (+0,9)
(C) 7,1 (+1,0)
L 5,0 (-0,4)
MP 4,5 (-0,2)
KD 3,1 (0,0)
Other 3,2 (+0,8)
the Survey is an estimate of the election results, “if there were elections today,” conducted in the month of november. It is based on a national random probability sample comprehensive 8 952 people. The shortfall amounts to 43.9%.
Source: SCB
TT
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