Mardrömssiffror for Ebba Busch Thor KD in the new Sifo poll.
A budget and five budgetmotioner has been presented since september’s Sifomätning. Two partiledardebatter have created headlines. And in parallel with the economic utspelen have regeringsfrågan gone hot in the columns – Stefan Löfven (S) have spoken on the conditions for a possible departure, Anna Kinberg Batra (M) distanced itself from the SD and Jan Björklund (L), opened up for cooperation across blockgränsen.
the Intensity in spite of – in SvD/Sifo:s väljarbarometer for October noted not a single statistically significant change.
– There were no major reforms in the parties ‘ budgets that led to some new directions. Most of it is known since earlier, many questions have hamrats over a long period of time, ” said Jonas Hinnfors, a political scientist at Gothenburg university.
Over the last month also has a number of scandals briserat around The sweden democrats. Secondly, Putilov affair, and secondly, the SD peaks Oscar Sjöstedt and Anna Hagwall who, by their actions in two separate cases linked to anti-semitic views.
As is so often the case with Jimmie Åkessons party does not give this impression in the public opinion:
– There has been uproar around the SD. But the main thing that changed here is the other parties ‘ actions. In particular, M and KD has become much more caustic in its criticism, saying the Hinnfors.
Despite the fact that no significant change measured since the last month is oktobermätningen likely to be pleasant reading for Jonas Sjöstedt. His party reaches 8.2 per cent, a level the Party has not been up since before the election (where V got 5.7 per cent).
the Best is the V in big cities, with Gothenburg as the brightest vänsterfästet. In the city and adjacent municipalities, the lands of the party of 13.8 percent, compared with 10.5 per cent in the malmö area and 7.3 per cent in Stockholm county.
the reason for the red success think Toivo Sjörén, opinionschef at Sifo, is to be found in the rest of the relatively movable selector, and – of course – the government’s weakened position.
– Left party takes voters from S and MP. The social democrats no longer has a strong position in the big cities, but mainly because of the displacement within the red-green block on the Green party’s crisis.
When choosing low MP at 9.5% support in Stockholm, Gothenburg and Malmö. Today, the figure more than halved to 4.4 per cent.
To compare with the V that reach an average of 11 per cent in the three cities.
– the Left party has been known to use MP:s crisis in the big cities, notes Sjörén.
Not in the bourgeois bloc is no significant change in the oktobermätningen. Most significantly is Their low support at 2.8 per cent.
Even if the numbers on the no way is unique to KD in may 2013, the coalition party got 2.7% of the Sifo – there is a risk that the bad numbers over a longer period can affect the voters ‘ desire to stödröstning.
– Stops the left under the 3 per cent emergence of a new psychological situation, in which a voice in the party can feel wasted, ” says Toivo Sjörén.
Jonas Hinnfors believe that KD is currently difficult to tell where the party is ideologically. And he believes that Ebba Busch Thor’s upcoming parental leave can be poorly timed when many members feel anxiety over the future.
“It would not be surprising if sooner or later, there will be criticism against the party line,” he says.
the Alliance is located in oktobermätningen on to 41.5 percent support, compared with the red-green 38.8 per cent. The difference between the blocks at 2.7 per cent is not significant.
Government’s in the measurement support of 30.6 percent. SD will reach 16.8 percent.
Feminist initiative get the 2.1 per cent. Other parties land on the 0.9 per cent.
all in 1 936 interviews during the period 3-13 October 2016.
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