SCB’s big party preference survey confirms some trends which have been visible in other opinion polls. Sweden Democrats increased by 1.6 percentage points since the election, and receives its highest figure ever in the SCB, with 14.5 percent. The Social Democrats slopes compared to the election results and get this 30.3 percent – which is still a higher figure than in many other recent surveys. In the Novus / echo recent appraisal of several opinion polls (“Swedish voter opinion”), the S 27.5 percent. It is not impossible that it actually looks even worse for the Social Democrats, than the SCB survey shows. But Statistics Sweden also reported voter streams, and S have understood the possibilities to draw political conclusions that the party has lost voters to the Moderate Party and the Sweden Democrats. A not uncommon political-strategic reflection is to follow the voters, then to adjust the policy – or at least send signals – in the direction selector escape point. Traditionally, the Social Democrats, also in government, could do it, but it is obviously more difficult when the party is in coalition with the MP, and politically dependent on the Left. Instead, the Social Democrats probably continue to live in the hope that they usually point out: when the government’s economic policy begins to take effect in the fall, so will the voters to come back.
On the red-green hand also backs the Green Party by a half percentage point , to 6.4 percent. While the Left instead grow by one percentage point, to 6.5 percent. Moderates are the big winner over the election results, in this measurement, and goes ahead by 1.9 percentage points to 25.2 percent the Centre shall 6.4 percent, just over the election results. But any bourgeois joy tempered by problems for the other Alliance parties. Liberal Party backs half a percentage point, and must settle for weak 4.9 percent. The weak FP result can ignite a spark before the party congress in the autumn. Jan Björklund has so far managed to resist, but it is understood Liberals who think that the party should follow M’s and KD’s example, and replace party leader. Also, the Christian Democrats – with the new party leader – slopes and ports by 3.8 percent in this survey outside parliament – which of course immediately makes the M-success worth less. But the Conservatives and the new party leader Anna Kinberg Batra is still reason to enjoy their own party rehabilitation works. Moderates in the spring rocked by an internal resistance against the December agreement (DO), which means that the government gets through the budget and its economic policy, even though it lacks majority support in parliament. High poll numbers is the most effective way to silence internal critics, and Anna Kinberg Batra is now in any case, a piece of Fredrik Reinfeldt’s final election results.
No comments:
Post a Comment