Wednesday, June 3, 2015

Goran Eriksson: S can be attracted rightward – Swedish Dagbladet

SvD’s political commentator Goran Eriksson believes that SCB’s political party preference can lure S more to the right. Photo: Henrik Montgomery / TT / TT news agency

What are the clearest trends in SCB’s political party preference?

Statistically secure changes since parliamentary elections is that the government parties (S and MP) slopes and to the Alliance grows. The largest secure changes at the wholesale level applies to the Conservatives (+ 1.9) and the Sweden Democrats (+1.6), both therefore have progressed progressed since the election. SD’s figure is the highest ever at SCB.

What would this kind of election results mean for government issue?

Probably not as much. But it would of course be even more difficult to describe a place like this election results that the voters have given the Social Democrats and the Red-Green a change in the mandate.

Just as in reality, the four Alliance parties in the SCB measurement greater than the two government parties – but it would be this election result would be the Christian Democrats go out of parliament.

and MP will be greater than the Alliance – in percentage terms – if they expect the Left Party, as indeed is the case with the current election results.

M is moving forward and the S slopes – Does it matter?

slopes especially if compared to the SCB survey in November when the party was loud, the new measurement is the party just for the election results. Of course it is demoralizing for Stefan Löfven and S-line, but the party is still reasonably to this survey compared to many others.

The Moderates grow may mean that the internal criticism of the M-line – especially with regard to December agreement (DIE) – diminish in strength.

And does it matter how the electorate has moved?

Selector currents can always influence the way Parties design their strategies. Then one can especially consider the conclusions to draw from the Social Democrats that the party – according to Statistics Sweden – have lost voters mainly to the Moderate Party and the Sweden Democrats. It could encourage strategists advocate a step to the right, but the question is whether it is possible to carry out a coalition with the Green Party.

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