Magdalena Andersson wants with his spring budget “show the direction of travel”. But there will not be more jobs, quickly, is the government stumped.
Finance Magdalena Andersson (S) did not mention the 90 dagarsgaratin for young unemployed people during his presentation of the budget. She was also low with the Government’s target of Sweden shall have the EU’s lowest unemployment in 2020.
To succeed in jobs and schools, the government’s foremost tasks. Failing S + MP where they stand a chance in the next election. S-leader Stefan Löfven have staked their prestige on job goal and has throughout its legitimacy in that area. Unless unemployment falls firmly seated, he resolved, not only as Prime Minister but also as party leader.
So the main question facing budgetary decision later this spring, of course: there will be more jobs with the government’s spring budget?
The answer depends on who you ask. Ulf Krister Andersson (M) argues that the government “abandons the work line,” Jacob Forssmed (KD) indicates that the government gives itself the “virtues that work, save and generosity” and Oscar Sjöstedt (SD) portrays the government’s promise traitor and thinks that the rest of the opposition “caved”. The Finance Minister himself says that the Government with its spring budget “shows the direction of travel.”
The largest source of income for reforms this year comes from increased employer contributions on young people’s jobs. There is a risk. Admittedly, a largely coherent ekonomkår condemned the Alliance government reduced fees as ineffective, but to think that there will be no effects when the employer’s contribution to young people’s job is raised is naive. So the next question becomes: will the proposed trainee and training sites to offset the decline?
Even where the answer depends on who you ask. But there are at least two factors that greatly affect the Government’s ability to fulfill its job promise. The international economy is, the structure of the Swedish labor market is another.
How the economy goes in the countries Sweden has the largest exchange with, especially in Europe and the US, can not Magdalena Andersson do much about. And the fact that there are very few jobs in Sweden that does not require at least an upper secondary qualification does not want the S transform. In Germany and Austria, as Magdalena Andersson compared with the proportion lågtröskeljobb significantly higher and unemployment lower. There are certainly reasons against having a low wage sector of unskilled jobs. But there are also huge problems with having high thresholds in the labor market.
The employment rate in Sweden is among the highest in Europe, but large groups have a hard time even getting their first job. This applies particularly to young, less educated, foreign-born and disabled. If even these should have the chance to get a job needed major changes. The government’s response is more training and it certainly works for some.
But here, the government, and especially the Labour Party S with jobs top the agenda, a delicate task to solve: what to do with those who are not the demanding requirements of today’s job market. I miss the discussion.
Facts: Spring Budget
SELECTION OF REFORMS:
Raised ceilings in the UIF to income of SEK 25 000. Costing 0.9 billion in 2015 and 2.8 billion in 2016.
Increased maintenance: 207 million in 2015, 624 million in 2016.
Increased staffing in the elderly: 1 billion in 2015, 2 billion in 2016.
maternity care: 200 million, 400 million in 2016.
Railway Maintenance : 620 million, 1.24 billion in 2016.
Local climate for investment: 125 million in 2015, then 600 million annually.
Environmental Protection: 460 million 2015th
Economic policy: 225 million in 2015, 315 million in 2016.
6500 new places in college, adult education, college: 610 million in 2015, 1.21 billion in 2016
FUNDING:
Suspension of reduced payroll taxes for young people: 5.5 billion in 2015, 16 billion in 2016.
Height taxes on nuclear power: 104 million in 2015, 250 million in 2016.
backtracked RUT deduction for homework help: 20 million in 2015, 50 million in 2016.
Height tax on natural gravel and pesticides: 11 million in 2015
Source: Government / TT
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